Conclusion the main reasons of the high measles incidence in 2003 in Luoyang were the low inoculation rate and failure immunization.
结论洛阳市2003年麻疹发病率高的主要原因与儿童基础免疫接种率低、免疫失败有关。
We analysed the measles incidence from 1991 to 2001 in Pudong New Area for further discussion on strategies and measures of measles control.
为探讨控制麻疹的策略和措施,对1991 ~ 2 0 0 1年上海市浦东新区麻疹发病情况进行分析。
Conclusion: ARIMA model can be used to exactly fit the changes of the incidence of measles and predict the future measles incidence in future.
结论:ARIMA模型能很好的模拟深圳市麻疹发病率的变动趋势,预测效果可靠。