2025-10-31 11:59 浏览次数 16
总平均值
bias-removed ensemble mean消除偏差集合平均
multi-model ensemble mean多模式集合平均
ensemble mean forecasts集合平均
Ensemble local mean decomposition总体局部均值分解
the results show that tc initial position perturbation make its track different, but ensemble mean is close to control forecast.
试验结果表明:热带气旋定位误差影响路径预报,但扰动初始位置的集合平均预报与控制试验的预报水平相接近。
to remove the uncertainty in predicting the area and the intensity of heavy rainfall, an ensemble mean was achieved by averaging the five simulated results.
分析不同的模拟结果发现,对降水量的模拟,集合模拟结果更接近实况。